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Wednesday, November 18, 2020

A Third World War Starting In/Centering On Iran? WHAT A LEGACY...of Death and Destruction to His Fellow Humanity...From the Ultimate Narcissist...-But Doubtless Not Until Donald J Trump Resumes the Presidential Reins After Presidential Election 2024...

Hey, I'm not saying it will happen, let alone that I understand the Bible itself to effectively be suggesting as much, just that, as things stand, in light of Trump's own well-understood persona, and in light of the ever fraught situation in the Middle East - which his own policies have hardly managed to assuage - this all looks highly likely...

Though I simply must add that as far as my own careful study of Scripture over the decades suggests, such a war may well be a 'limited nuclear war' affecting the (larger) Middle East only...

What I Think Will Happen, or, Vis-a-Vis the Future (Temporal) Destiny of Donald the Trump: It's [Awfully] Hard to Keep A Good - I Mean Bad - Man Down - I Mean Out (of the Running), Except for the Briefest of (Re)Counts...Yes, I DO Believe He Simply Won't Concede (As Such), That He Will Contest the 2024 Presidential Election, Be Duly Renominated as the Republican Party's Candidate, and Ultimately - Horror of Horrors - Go On (In All Likelihood) to Be Re-Elected as President of the United States of America...-Yes, You Heard it Here First. But as the Good Book SEEMS TO Insinuate/Intimate, the One Above All Earthly Powers and Authorities Will Ultimately Have the Last Laugh...'AT THE LAST TRUMP>>>THE TRUMP OF GOD'!

Much like the legendary (at least in name!) American President of the 1880s/1890s, Grover Cleveland - apparently a model of nepotism in U S politics, incidentally, as well as other graft and corruption, if ever there was one (*BT, that is) - for a second, ultimately catastrophic, cataclysmic term, in all likelihood the last in history, issuing and ushering in the long-prophesied Millennium... 

*I.e. Before Trump...

And that despite the eminently sensible and logical, well-articulated thoughts of Trump's niece Mary.

Postscript: As I suddenly came to the realization of - in a personal epiphany of reflection post-the-effective anointing of Joe Biden upon November 10th, NZ time - whilst upon a holiday recently...

Wednesday, November 4, 2020

As Election Day 2020 Begins to Unfold/Unravel In All its Manifold Permutations and Implications, I Just Cannot Get Past Recalling A Certain Incident During My (Almost) Three-Year Stay in the USA Back in Later 1992...

Whilst being conducted by a tour guide through the Grand Hall of the American Constitution (or some such) during my brief visit to Philadelphia (the 'city of brotherly love'), Pennsylvania (so named for its Christian founder, the Quaker William Penn) back in later 1992,

I recall him pointing towards a painting of/with a sunrise/sunset gilding America...

...saying it remains with observers/viewers to decide whether that represents a/the sun rising or setting over the United States of America...

...perhaps adding the little caveat/vignette (in rhetorical query): are America's greatest days before/ahead of it or are they now behind it?

A good question indeed, and worthy of much deep and ongoing contemplation and consideration...

Irrespective of How US Presidential Election 2020 ULTIMATELY Pans Out, Here's Someone to Watch - as America Edges Inexorably Towards Religious Legislation, Bringing in (the Long-Prophesied) Nationwide - and Eventually Worldwide - Sunday Law: the (One-Time Christian Coalition's) Ralph Reed...

Curiously only this very afternoon I chanced to stumble across an interesting book upon the United States of America in the first decade of the 2000s, and, flicking through to the index, I thought I'd see if there were any references to the likes of the Moral Majority/Christian Coalition...

...and then, finally 'in luck'...

...to Ralph Reed...

...and, hey presto, one to his 'relations' to the (rather quaint, almost 'old-fashioned') matter of gambling...

It revealed that whereas he'd been vocal against this industry/pasttime, he'd nevertheless been a willing recipient (on occasion) of its largesse... 

Indeedy-Do, 'Possession is [Most Verily (as the Master Might Put It)] Nine-tenths of the Law'...Hey, Some Mothers Do 'Ave 'Em! (As Donald J Trump, Preparing for Defeat and Disgrace and Inglorious Infamy, Battens Down the White House Hatches)...

Though I believe 'the Donald' *might well pull ye proverbial rabbit out of the hat, the great likelihood - unlike in 2016, when for all manner of reasons the (great majority of mainstream) pollsters, though quite correct as to Hillary Clinton's sizable popular majority margin throughout the United States, got it completely wrong as to who would move into the Oval Office - is that **this time tomorrow Joe Biden will have won such a sizable majority (electoral votewise as well as in total popular votes)...

...that it'll simply be a case of all over, rover...

***Unlock the Doors (to 1700 Pennsylvania Avenue)!

*The (well-chronicled) 'Brexit Effect', as cited/referred to in yesterday's blogpost upon the same (matter); i.e. those (oftentimes/generally even 'fundamentalist' evangelical Christians) 'holding their noses - and (also, these days) covering their faces (as protection against the dreaded coronavirus)', and yet ticking Trump's name in the voting booth despite it all anyway...

...much like the 'silent Brexit voters' in the United Kingdom, who, at the very end of 2019, gave Boris Johnson's Conservatives a resounding victory in their General Election, thus ensuring that the decision of ****'Britishers given in the 2016 June 23rd referendum would indeed be enacted into law: no ifs, buts and most certainly no maybes (as former Irish Catholic kiwi Prime Minister Jim Bolger once put things)...

...despite pollsters continually being given the effective 'runaround' by the same, the received wisdom being that the British are (congenitally) simply too polite by half to tell opinion pollsters what they really think, especially when they well know it's not the sort of answer such pollsters probably were hoping for...

...for fear of being accused - as per usual - of being racist xenophobes (and all the rest)...

But also it's clearly the case that Republican voters often prefer casting their vote/s (much like Yours Truly) on the day (and at the polling booth), and so, as pollsters and pundits have already well suggested already today, Trump might well do very well on the night, whereas the record-shattering turnout in days and weeks prior (c/o the Advance Voting) might well/even in all likelihood will go the other way entirely   

**That is, if either/both Florida and/or Pennsylvania prove not to be the down-to-the-very-wire affairs that all the punditry and pollsters have thus far been suggesting - based upon a few previous presidential elections - they might well (be)... 

***As kiwi parliamentary procedure 'expresses things' after 'the lobbies' have been filled up with MPs voting, invariably upon contentious 'moral' matters, in their own individual capacities, the votes for the respective sides have all been tallied, and the result for each side is confirmed and conveyed back to the House (of Parliament) as a whole... 

****Yeah, it ain't 'correct terminology', but as a one-off I kinda like the sound of it...

Tuesday, November 3, 2020

So How Do I Read Tomorrow's Most Pivotal of American Presidential Elections, The One Historians Will Doubtless Write About For Time Immemorial, Or Rather WOULD, Were Time To Last Long Enough To? Having Carefully 'Consulted'/Been Presented With the Major Scenarios/Prognosticators (Four Especially), I Tend to Suspect It'll Play Out in One of Two Essential Ways: Either An Outright Landslide Win By Joe Biden, Even to the Point of Garnering States (Such as Georgia and Texas) That Former Democratic Party Presidential Wannabes Could Only Dream Of, and In the Process Amassing An Unassailable Lead in Electoral College Votes (Alongside a Huge Popular Vote Margin That the Likes of Former Presidents FDR, Lyndon Johnson, Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan Might Have Been Proud of), or Donald J TRUMP Will Squeak Back by the Barest of Margins, Doubtless by Winning in the All-Important State of *Pennsylvania (and Of Course Florida) Whilst Not Managing to Lose Such Usual Republican Heartland Territory as Arizona and Nevada (Though These are Comparative 'Small-Fry' in the Overall Scheme of Things) - Alongside Maine's and Nebraska's Individual Electoral Votes; North Carolina and Virginia, But Primarily Texas and Georgia; Meanwhile Holding Onto Good 'Ole OHIO (America's 'Little League' State); Whilst Also Picking Up the Likes of New Hampshire Just for Good Measure. And HOW SO? Due to the SILENT BREXIT EFFECT, So-Imagined; Where, Just as Britain's Conservatives Under Boris Johnson Recently Secured A Massive, Historic Landslide Victory Over British Labour, the 'Silent Majority' Come Out, Holding Their Noses and Duly, Dutifully, 'Covidly' Covering Their Faces, and Ticking Trump DESPITE IT ALL. Though Methinks, Having Said All That, THIS TIME He's Bitten Off Way More Than He - or Anyone Else for That Matter - Can Reasonably Chew (Much Less Thoroughly Masticate); Having Pretty Well LONG SINCE Secured His Own Death-Knell By the Way He's Managed To TOTALLY AND UTTERLY Stuff Up America's Coronavirus Response, Making America the VERY HELL-HOLE He Had the Bald-faced Temerity the Other Day to Accuse Our Own Kiwi Government of Making Our Own Land of Aotearoa-New Zealand. And Seniors, More's the Pity for Trump, Tend to Have Somewhat Longer Memories Than He Can Be Accused of, and Naturally Would Hardly Look All That Kindly Upon Those Who Regard Them as Cluttering up the Landscape, Much Less as Dispensable Throwaways and Even Worthwhile Collateral Damage So To Speak for That Most Sacred of American Cows, MONOPOLY Capitalism. NO SIRREE.

Acknowledgment in thus making up my mind - but actually, no, they only confirmed me in those two directions I'd already (long since) arrived at anyway - must go to the four individuals alluded to below; though, yes, I arrived there with a little help from such psephological friends, I freely admit...

Anyway, I acknowledge the following (quite individuated) foursome... 

Latterly, I consulted Nate Silver, but only as the final voice (c/o his '528 website') of these four - being of course the pundit/pollster who so famously got the 2016 Election right whereas virtually all others made a complete hash of it...

...preceded by Henry Olsen, whose own calculations etcetera (for 'The Washington Post' et al, I do believe), I spent awhile earlier this evening poring over, finding them fascinating stuff indeed, focusing upon the close association between approval ratings of various presidents, especially the final ones preceding (would be) re-elections, and actual re-election...

Though his evaluation contained many other interesting bits 'n bobs, like another much-quoted presidential election prognosticator, whom Mike Hosking briefly interviewed this/yesterday morning (his name meanwhile eludes me) he safely seemed to go/rely upon the general tenor of certain trends, and thus found the likelihood of Joe Biden winning and Donald Trump losing to be fairly substantial and weighty.               

This morning's interviewee has also been interviewed of late upon RNZ National Radio etcetera, and had/has a scale of eight or ten 'indicators'/indicative measurements for evaluating a particular incumbent's/incumbent president's chances of returning to office...

The first of the four was another *'forgotten' name (*but evidently linked to The Washington Post again) who simply held to the 'Brexit effect', imagining a  rerun of sorts of Presidential Election 2016, whereby the then outsider Trump managed to garner a relatively miniscule (in the overall scheme of things) number of votes of largely disenfranchised blue-collar workers (in particular) in a couple of (unexpectedly) 'swing states', and thus and so c/o the state of Pennsylvania in particular Trump would beat his path back to the White House...

...though apparently he has no intention whatsoever of even vacating the premises upon Election Night, evidently believing that 'possession is (indeed) nine-tenths of the law'... 

Some Mothers Do 'Ave 'Em!